Author and investor Robert Kiyosaki is preparing to double his Bitcoin holdings if the cryptocurrency drops below $90,000, calling this potential move the “Bitcoin August Curse.” For Kiyosaki, such a dip represents an opportunity rather than a setback, reinforcing his long-term bullish stance on BTC.
Seasonal trend under the spotlight
Historical data shows that August has been one of Bitcoin’s weakest months.
- In the last 12 years, the crypto leader closed 8 Augusts in the red, translating into a 67% probability of decline.
- The median historical return for the month is –7.49%, reflecting the seasonal weakness that often precedes a stronger Q4 recovery.
Still, 2025 presents a different setup:
- July ended at $115,800, marking the strongest monthly close in Bitcoin history.
- During previous halving years, August sometimes defied the trend, posting gains of 30%, 65% and 13.8% in 2013, 2017 and 2021 respectively.
Market outlook and key levels
Analysts now watch $115,000 as the critical support-resistance area:
- Holding above this level could trigger a rally toward $121,000 to $172,000.
- A breakdown, however, may open the path to $104,000 or even Kiyosaki’s $90,000 entry target.
Institutional demand remains solid, with 12 consecutive weeks of ETF inflows, while the Fear & Greed Index remains in neutral-to-positive territory. Macro triggers, including upcoming U.S. inflation and labor data, will likely dictate Bitcoin’s short-term direction.
Strategic takeaway
The so‑called Bitcoin August Curse is a statistical caution, not a certainty. If a deep correction occurs, it could present a strategic entry point for long-term investors exactly the scenario Kiyosaki is waiting for.
Source: Cointelegraph, Binance Square, Coinpedia, On‑chain analytics.
